Signal Scoreboard
Our predictions with full transparency - see our track record
67%
Overall Accuracy
2 of 3 validated predictions correct
5
Total Signals
2
Confirmed
2
Pending
✅ Confirmedmarket trend
72%
historical accuracy
AI Infrastructure Capex Acceleration
Multiple hyperscalers increasing capital expenditure on AI infrastructure
PREDICTION
Datacenter spending +40% in Q1 2026
ACTUAL OUTCOME
Datacenter spending +43% (exceeded prediction)
Triggered: Jan 15, 2026Validated: Mar 15, 2026
⏳ Pendingsupply chain
68%
historical accuracy
Semiconductor Supply Normalization
Lead time reduction patterns detected across major fabs
PREDICTION
Chip lead times under 10 weeks by Q2 2026
Triggered: Feb 20, 2026
✅ Confirmedmarket trend
75%
historical accuracy
EV Market Softening
Declining pre-order rates and inventory accumulation signals
PREDICTION
EV sales growth slowing to single digits in H1 2026
ACTUAL OUTCOME
EV sales growth at 8% (prediction accurate)
Triggered: Nov 10, 2025Validated: Feb 28, 2026
❌ Wrongpricing
65%
historical accuracy
Cloud Margin Compression
Competitive pricing pressure across hyperscaler offerings
PREDICTION
AWS/Azure cloud pricing -15% by Q3 2026
ACTUAL OUTCOME
Pricing remained stable, only -3% reduction
Triggered: Sep 1, 2025Validated: Jan 15, 2026
⏳ Pendingregulatory
80%
historical accuracy
Regulatory AI Framework Adoption
Legislative momentum indicators across EU and US
PREDICTION
Comprehensive AI regulation passed in EU by mid-2026
Triggered: Jan 5, 2026
Full Transparency
We publish ALL our predictions - confirmed, pending, and wrong. No cherry-picking, no hiding failures. Build trust through accountability.